# AFL Semi Finals 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI AFL predictions for Semi Finals of the 2026 season — 2 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Semi Finals at a glance
- 2 matches

## Semi Finals predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fremantle v Geelong Cats | — | Fremantle 50% | — |
| Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows | — | Brisbane Lions 50% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Fremantle v Geelong Cats
Fri, 11 Sept, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Fremantle 50.0% / Geelong Cats 50.0%

### Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
Sat, 12 Sept, 07:35 pm AEST · Gabba · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Brisbane Lions 50.0% / Adelaide Crows 50.0%

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 64.3% | 137/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 57.7% | 123/213 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 40.4% | 86/213 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 48.8% | 104/213 |

## More AFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/26 (markdown: /afl/round/26.md)
- All AFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/afl (markdown: /afl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/27
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-07 07:55 UTC