# AFL Round 24 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI AFL predictions for Round 24 of the 2026 season — 9 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 24 at a glance
- 9 matches

## Round 24 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton v Fremantle | — | Carlton 50% | — |
| Geelong Cats v Richmond | — | Geelong Cats 50% | — |
| Melbourne v Western Bulldogs | — | Melbourne 50% | — |
| Essendon v Port Adelaide | — | Essendon 50% | — |
| Sydney Swans v North Melbourne | — | Sydney Swans 50% | — |
| Adelaide Crows v GWS GIANTS | — | Adelaide Crows 50% | — |
| West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn | — | West Coast Eagles 50% | — |
| St Kilda v Gold Coast SUNS | — | St Kilda 50% | — |
| Collingwood v Brisbane Lions | — | Collingwood 50% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Carlton v Fremantle
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:00 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Carlton 50.0% / Fremantle 50.0%

### Geelong Cats v Richmond
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:00 pm AEST · GMHBA Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Geelong Cats 50.0% / Richmond 50.0%

### Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:00 pm AEST · MCG · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Melbourne 50.0% / Western Bulldogs 50.0%

### Essendon v Port Adelaide
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:00 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Essendon 50.0% / Port Adelaide 50.0%

### Sydney Swans v North Melbourne
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:00 pm AEST · SCG · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Sydney Swans 50.0% / North Melbourne 50.0%

### Adelaide Crows v GWS GIANTS
Mon, 17 Aug, 12:30 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Adelaide Crows 50.0% / GWS GIANTS 50.0%

### West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn
Mon, 17 Aug, 02:00 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: West Coast Eagles 50.0% / Hawthorn 50.0%

### St Kilda v Gold Coast SUNS
Thu, 20 Aug, 07:30 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: St Kilda 50.0% / Gold Coast SUNS 50.0%

### Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
Fri, 21 Aug, 07:40 pm AEST · MCG · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Collingwood 50.0% / Brisbane Lions 50.0%

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 63.1% | 125/198 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 57.1% | 113/198 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 39.4% | 78/198 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 51% | 101/198 |

## More AFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/23 (markdown: /afl/round/23.md)
- All AFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/afl (markdown: /afl.md)

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Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-08-17 03:49 UTC