# AFL Round 2 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI AFL predictions for Round 2 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 2 at a glance
- 7 matches · 15W–13L on 28 settled picks (54% strike rate) · best value +35.5% edge

## Round 2 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawthorn v Sydney Swans | Hawthorn @ $1.39 | Hawthorn 64% | WON |
| Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs | Adelaide Crows @ $1.92 | Adelaide Crows 61% | LOST |
| Richmond v Gold Coast SUNS | Gold Coast SUNS @ $1.16 | Gold Coast SUNS 52% | WON |
| GWS GIANTS v St Kilda | GWS GIANTS @ $1.48 | GWS GIANTS 58% | LOST |
| Fremantle v Melbourne | Fremantle @ $1.35 | Fremantle 58% | WON |
| Port Adelaide v Essendon | Port Adelaide @ $1.38 | Port Adelaide 59% | WON |
| West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne | West Coast Eagles @ $2.66 | West Coast Eagles 73% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Hawthorn v Sydney Swans
Thu, 19 Mar, 07:30 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Hawthorn 64.0% / Sydney Swans 36.0%
- **Head to Head:** Hawthorn to win @ $1.39 (edge -8.0%) — model probability 64.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hawthorn -18.5 @ $1.91 (edge -8.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hawthorn 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 187.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hawthorn by 6 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-hawthorn-v-sydney-swans

### Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
Fri, 20 Mar, 07:40 pm AEDT · Adelaide Oval · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Adelaide Crows 61.1% / Western Bulldogs 38.9%
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.92 (edge +9.0%) — model probability 61.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Adelaide Crows +0.5 @ $1.89 (edge +9.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 195.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 6 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-adelaide-crows-v-western-bulldogs

### Richmond v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat, 21 Mar, 01:15 pm AEDT · MCG · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Richmond 47.7% / Gold Coast SUNS 52.3%
- **Head to Head:** Gold Coast SUNS to win @ $1.16 (edge -33.9%) — model probability 52.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +34.5 @ $1.90 (edge -33.9%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Richmond 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 191.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Richmond by 10 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-richmond-v-gold-coast-suns

### GWS GIANTS v St Kilda
Sat, 21 Mar, 04:15 pm AEDT · ENGIE Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: GWS GIANTS 58.2% / St Kilda 41.8%
- **Head to Head:** GWS GIANTS to win @ $1.48 (edge -9.3%) — model probability 58.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** GWS GIANTS -13.5 @ $1.91 (edge -9.3%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** GWS GIANTS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 183.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: GWS GIANTS by 6 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-gws-giants-v-st-kilda

### Fremantle v Melbourne
Sat, 21 Mar, 07:35 pm AEDT · Optus Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Fremantle 57.5% / Melbourne 42.5%
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.35 (edge -16.5%) — model probability 57.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Fremantle -20.5 @ $1.90 (edge -16.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 190.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 6 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-fremantle-v-melbourne

### Port Adelaide v Essendon
Sun, 22 Mar, 03:15 pm AEDT · Adelaide Oval · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: Port Adelaide 59.0% / Essendon 41.0%
- **Head to Head:** Port Adelaide to win @ $1.38 (edge -13.5%) — model probability 59.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide -18.5 @ $1.90 (edge -13.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 186.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Port Adelaide by 27 · Predicted total: 167
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-port-adelaide-v-essendon

### West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne
Sun, 22 Mar, 06:10 pm AEDT · Optus Stadium · Round 2
Alphr AI win probability: West Coast Eagles 73.1% / North Melbourne 26.9%
- **Head to Head:** West Coast Eagles to win @ $2.66 (edge +35.5%) — model probability 73.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** West Coast Eagles +13.5 @ $1.90 (edge +35.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** West Coast Eagles 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 180.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: West Coast Eagles by 18 · Predicted total: 168
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r2-west-coast-eagles-v-north-melbourne

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 56.4% | 79/140 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 55.7% | 78/140 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 36.4% | 51/140 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 51.4% | 72/140 |

## More AFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/1 (markdown: /afl/round/1.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/3 (markdown: /afl/round/3.md)
- All AFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/afl (markdown: /afl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/2
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:33 UTC