# AFL Round 18 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI AFL predictions for Round 18 of the 2026 season — 9 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 18 at a glance
- 9 matches

## Round 18 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fremantle v Sydney Swans | — | Fremantle 50% | — |
| Collingwood v North Melbourne | — | Collingwood 50% | — |
| St Kilda v Port Adelaide | — | St Kilda 50% | — |
| GWS GIANTS v Geelong Cats | — | GWS GIANTS 50% | — |
| Carlton v Hawthorn | — | Carlton 50% | — |
| Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast SUNS | — | Adelaide Crows 50% | — |
| Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles | — | Western Bulldogs 50% | — |
| Melbourne v Richmond | — | Melbourne 50% | — |
| Brisbane Lions v Essendon | — | Brisbane Lions 50% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Thu, 09 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Fremantle 50.0% / Sydney Swans 50.0%

### Collingwood v North Melbourne
Fri, 10 July, 07:40 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Collingwood 50.0% / North Melbourne 50.0%

### St Kilda v Port Adelaide
Sat, 11 July, 01:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: St Kilda 50.0% / Port Adelaide 50.0%

### GWS GIANTS v Geelong Cats
Sat, 11 July, 04:15 pm AEST · ENGIE Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: GWS GIANTS 50.0% / Geelong Cats 50.0%

### Carlton v Hawthorn
Sat, 11 July, 07:35 pm AEST · MCG · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Carlton 50.0% / Hawthorn 50.0%

### Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat, 11 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Adelaide Crows 50.0% / Gold Coast SUNS 50.0%

### Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles
Sun, 12 July, 01:10 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Western Bulldogs 50.0% / West Coast Eagles 50.0%

### Melbourne v Richmond
Sun, 12 July, 03:15 pm AEST · MCG · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Melbourne 50.0% / Richmond 50.0%

### Brisbane Lions v Essendon
Sun, 12 July, 04:40 pm AEST · Gabba · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Brisbane Lions 50.0% / Essendon 50.0%

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 57.6% | 83/144 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 55.6% | 80/144 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 36.8% | 53/144 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 51.4% | 74/144 |

## More AFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/17 (markdown: /afl/round/17.md)
- All AFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/afl (markdown: /afl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/18
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-06 06:36 UTC