# Western Bulldogs v Collingwood — AFL Wildcard Finals 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Western Bulldogs 96 – 93 Collingwood

_Western Bulldogs muzzle a gallant Collingwood._

Half time: 48 – 38 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Western Bulldogs 53% / Collingwood 47% · MCG · Fri, 28 Aug, 07:40 pm AEST

**Goal Kickers** — Western Bulldogs: Matthew Kennedy (9' 1st), Aaron Naughton (15' ×4 Tipped ⚡), Cody Weightman (23' ×2), Arthur Jones (25' ×4 Tipped ⚡), Marcus Bontempelli (43' Tipped ⚡), Sam Davidson (79'), Ed Richards (78') · Collingwood: Nick Daicos (13' ×2), Charlie West (20' Tipped ⚡), Daniel McStay (31' ×3 Tipped ⚡), Ned Long (56'), Darcy Cameron (71'), Angus Anderson (76' ×2 Tipped ⚡), Jordan de Goey (89' Tipped ⚡), Jack Crisp (90'), Tim Membrey (93' Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | 53% | Won |
| Collingwood | 47% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 3.0 predicted → 3 actual · Markets hit: 4/4

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction & Tips | AFL Wildcard Finals 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 27 Aug 2026, 07:21 pm · Last updated: 28 Aug 2026, 10:26 pm_

Western Bulldogs 96–93 Collingwood in AFL Wildcard Finals at MCG. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

The Western Bulldogs edged out Collingwood at the MCG, 96–93. The final margin of 3 points makes it look tight, yet the numbers show the Bulldogs had a firmer grip on the game than the scoreboard suggests. They led by 12 at three-quarter time, and much of that control stemmed from their dominance in clearances. They won that battle 54 to 35, ensuring they had first use of the ball around the stoppages.

Inside 50s told a story of its own. The Bulldogs were more incisive with their entries, racking up 64 to Collingwood’s 45. This allowed them to generate a greater volume of scoring opportunities, leading to 17 marks inside 50 compared to Collingwood’s 13. The Bulldogs brought precision to their play, and this efficiency kept the scoreboard ticking in their favour.

Collingwood, though, wasn’t just there to make up the numbers. They brought a fierce tackle game, recording 86 compared to the Bulldogs’ 59. It's a hallmark of their pressure-based style, forcing the Bulldogs to earn every metre. Yet, while pressure was there, it wasn't coupled with clean disposal. Collingwood was slightly outdone in disposal efficiency, trailing by just 1%. Still, every little bit counts in a game this close.

The Bulldogs’ midfield ratings might have been lower heading into the match, but they didn't seem to notice. They outworked and outran Collingwood in the middle, which was pivotal in both restricting Collingwood's scoring and generating their own chances. With the Bulldogs’ forwards and defenders also rated higher, they capitalised on their overall positional strengths.

In the recent form stakes, both sides entered the match with two wins from their last five. Collingwood had outscored them on average, but had also conceded more points. True to form, their defence proved leakier, letting the Bulldogs build a crucial lead at three-quarter time that they never relinquished.

Alphr's model had the Bulldogs pegged as marginal favourites, and it was spot on. The model predicted a close Bulldog victory by 3 points, and that’s exactly how it panned out. The predicted total of 170 points was exceeded, with both teams putting on a higher scoring show than expected. It was a clean sweep for the model's calls all around.

For all the stats and numbers, the scoreboard was the real clincher. The Bulldogs had expected an edge, and they found it. Collingwood had their opportunities, but they just couldn't convert them into a lead.

**Scoring by Quarter**

| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | 25 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 96 |
| Collingwood | 24 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 93 |

**Key Match Stats**

| Western Bulldogs | Stat | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| **388** | Disposals | 361 |
| **145** | Contested poss. | 134 |
| **54** | Clearances | 35 |
| **64** | Inside 50s | 45 |
| **89** | Marks | 75 |
| **17** | Marks inside 50 | 13 |
| 59 | Tackles | **86** |
| 43 | Hit-outs | **48** |
| 64 | Intercepts | **71** |
| **69.1%** | Disposal eff. | 68.1% |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Western Bulldogs to win at 53% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Western Bulldogs by 3.0 vs the actual margin of 3 points. The game's 189 points came in 19 points higher than the predicted 170. A clean sweep, all 4 model picks hit for this match.

**Referee Watch**

Nick Foot officiated this match (180 career games). The combined score of 189 points was 24 points above Nick Foot's career average of 165. Western Bulldogs bucked the trend, Collingwood historically win 64% of games under Nick Foot, but couldn't convert that edge today. Western Bulldogs's home victory fits Nick Foot's profile, home teams win 59% of the time under this referee.

_Official AFL match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Western Bulldogs to win @ $1.87 (edge -0.6%) — model probability 52.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs -0.5 @ $1.88 (edge +2.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 169.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Western Bulldogs by 3 · Predicted total: 170

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Line ball between Western Bulldogs and Collingwood. The model can't split them, landing on Western Bulldogs at 53%.

On paper Collingwood shade it, ahead on 4 of 7 factors including Venue, Lineup Strength and Stat Profile. The model still sides with Western Bulldogs, which says Recent Form and Weather carry the most weight. The margin model has Western Bulldogs by 3.0, with the two sides combining for about 170. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Umpire Indicator — Favours Collingwood

**Nick Foot** — 180 career games since 2012 · panel: Nick Foot, Nathan Williamson, Jamie Broadbent.

| Team | Record under Nick Foot | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | 7W–11L | 39% |
| Collingwood | 14W–8L | 64% |

Avg total: 164.9 pts · Home win %: 59% · Home bias: Leans home

When Nick Foot officiates, Collingwood have won 14 of 22 games (64%), significantly stronger than Western Bulldogs's 7 from 18 (39%). Home teams win 59% of their matches (vs ~58% league avg). Panel: Nick Foot, Nathan Williamson, Jamie Broadbent.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Western Bulldogs | Stat | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 82.6pts | Avg Score | 97.0pts |
| 79.0pts | Avg Conceded | 104.0pts |
| 3.6pts | Avg Margin | -7.0pts |
| 352.2 | Disposals | 373.4 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 52.6 | Tackles | 76.0 |
| 34.8 | Clearances | 39.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | R20 W · R21 L · R22 L · R23 D · R24 W | 82.6 |
| Collingwood | R20 W · R21 L · R22 W · R23 D · R24 L | 97.0 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Western Bulldogs lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R12 | Western Bulldogs | 97 – 93 | Collingwood | Western Bulldogs 55% ✓ |
| 2025 | R2 | Western Bulldogs | 70 – 76 | Collingwood | not priced |
| 2024 | R12 | Collingwood | 82 – 100 | Western Bulldogs | not priced |
| 2023 | R17 | Western Bulldogs | 77 – 89 | Collingwood | not priced |
| 2022 | R9 | Collingwood | 51 – 99 | Western Bulldogs | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (18 teams)._

**Forwards** (Key Forwards · Med/Mid Forwards)

|  | Western Bulldogs | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 14th (weak) | 10th |
| Defence rank | 5th (strong) | 10th |
| Goals scored · conceded | 168 · 193 | 212 · 209 |
| Goal Assists | 4/g | 5.4/g |
| Disposals | 102/g | 126/g |
| Inside 50s | 16/g | 22.2/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 7.4/g | 10.1/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 67.3% | 70% |

**Midfield & Ruck** (Midfielders · Rucks)

|  | Western Bulldogs | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 5th (strong) | 10th |
| Defence rank | 11th | 6th (strong) |
| Goals scored · conceded | 84 · 72 | 71 · 63 |
| Goal Assists | 3.5/g | 2.8/g |
| Disposals | 137/g | 135/g |
| Inside 50s | 23.5/g | 19.5/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 3.2/g | 1.7/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 71.9% | 71.6% |

**Defenders** (Key & Medium Defenders)

|  | Western Bulldogs | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 16th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 11th | 1st (strong) |
| Goals scored · conceded | 16 · 17 | 9 · 9 |
| Goal Assists | 1.3/g | 1.2/g |
| Disposals | 118/g | 118/g |
| Inside 50s | 10.6/g | 10.8/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 0.6/g | 0.5/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 79.1% | 80.4% |

**Who scores on Collingwood** — Rucks 0.55/g (lg 0.52) +6% · Midfielders 2.37/g (lg 2.49) -5% · Defenders 0.99/g (lg 1.05) -6%
**Who scores on Western Bulldogs** — Rucks 0.56/g (lg 0.52) +8% · Midfielders 2.51/g (lg 2.49) +1% · Key Forwards 3.94/g (lg 3.91) +1%

_Goals conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Goal Scorer History — Who Kicks The Goals

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at MCG. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-goal pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Goal % = share of games with a goal, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Western Bulldogs** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Goal % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Aaron Naughton | KF | 46 in 22g | 17/10g (1·2·2·1·5·1·1·2·0·2) | 11/8g | 35/18g | 92% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.13 AI 83% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Goal $11.00 AI 7% ✗ Not first | 🏉 15' 53' 86' 91' |
| – | Marcus Bontempelli | MID | 30 in 22g | 13/10g (2·0·1·0·2·3·2·0·1·2) | 11/14g | 20/25g | 70% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.38 AI 71% ✓ Scored | 🏉 43' |
| – | Arthur Jones | FWD | 21 in 18g | 12/10g (2·1·2·1·1·1·0·0·1·3) | 1/2g | 4/4g | 59% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.45 AI 65% ✓ Scored | 🏉 25' 51' 88' 96' |
| – | Ed Richards | MID | 19 in 22g | 9/10g (1·0·0·1·1·2·0·1·2·1) | 2/7g | 4/16g | 68% | — | 🏉 78' |
| – | Rhylee West | FWD | 18 in 22g | 8/10g (1·1·0·0·1·2·1·0·1·1) | 3/6g | 6/8g | 74% | — | — |
| – | Cooper Hynes | FWD | 12 in 21g | 8/10g (1·1·0·0·0·1·2·1·0·2) | 0/1g | 2/2g | 49% | — | — |
| – | Joel Freijah | FWD | 11 in 23g | 5/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·2·1) | 1/3g | 2/6g | 40% | — | — |
| – | Matthew Kennedy | MID | 10 in 23g | 8/10g (0·1·0·0·3·0·0·2·0·2) | 1/8g | 16/40g | 38% | — | 🏉 9' |
| – | Bailey Williams | DEF | 7 in 17g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/8g | 4/15g | 26% | — | — |
| – | Sam Davidson | MID | 7 in 16g | 4/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·0·1·1·0) | 0/1g | 0/2g | 44% | — | 🏉 79' |
| – | Tim English | RUC | 6 in 15g | 4/10g (0·2·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 3/8g | 7/14g | 32% | — | — |
| – | Cody Weightman | FWD | 5 in 9g | 5/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·2·0·1·1) | 4/1g | 4/7g | 66% | — | 🏉 23' 86' |
| – | Josh Dolan | FWD | 5 in 11g | 4/10g (1·1·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0) | 0/1g | 0/2g | 31% | — | — |
| – | Rory Lobb | RUC | 5 in 20g | 5/10g (0·2·0·1·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 10/13g | 12/19g | 20% | — | — |
| – | Lachlan Bramble | DEF | 4 in 23g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 2/17g | 16% | — | — |
| – | Ryley Sanders | MID | 4 in 21g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/5g | 30% | — | — |
| – | Bailey Dale | DEF | 2 in 18g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/9g | 6/17g | 10% | — | — |
| – | Luke Kennedy | FWD | 2 in 6g | 2/6g (0·1·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 33% | — | — |
| – | Buku Khamis | DEF | 1 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 3/3g | 0/4g | 20% | — | — |
| – | Connor Budarick | DEF | 1 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/5g | 12% | — | — |
| – | Ryan Gardner | DEF | 1 in 2g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/4g | 1/4g | 6% | — | — |
| – | James O'Donnell | DEF | 0 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/5g | 6% | — | — |
| – | Michael Sellwood | DEF | 0 in 23g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |

**Collingwood** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Goal % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Daniel McStay | KF | 43 in 23g | 21/10g (1·0·3·3·2·2·5·3·2·0) | 11/11g | 66/53g | 76% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.14 AI 79% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Goal $12.00 AI 6% ✗ Not first | 🏉 31' 64' 74' |
| – | Tim Membrey | KF | 32 in 19g | 20/10g (3·2·3·2·3·2·0·3·0·2) | 19/12g | 70/41g | 78% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.20 AI 81% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Goal $13.00 AI 6% ✗ Not first | 🏉 93' |
| – | Lachie Schultz | FWD | 24 in 21g | 13/10g (2·0·2·4·1·1·0·3·0·0) | 12/10g | 50/44g | 64% | — | — |
| – | Nick Daicos | MID | 24 in 22g | 10/10g (1·3·1·1·0·1·0·1·1·1) | 5/5g | 48/73g | 72% | — | 🏉 13' 92' |
| – | Jordan De Goey | FWD | 20 in 21g | 10/10g (2·3·1·0·0·1·1·0·0·2) | 9/12g | 138/127g | 58% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.48 AI 60% ✓ Scored | 🏉 89' |
| – | Angus Anderson | FWD | 18 in 16g | 12/10g (2·1·2·0·1·1·1·0·1·3) | 2/1g | 11/9g | 81% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.45 AI 61% ✓ Scored | 🏉 76' 81' |
| – | Roan Steele | MID | 15 in 18g | 9/10g (0·1·2·1·1·0·0·2·2·0) | 1/1g | 10/15g | 49% | — | — |
| – | Beau McCreery | FWD | 13 in 22g | 6/10g (0·0·0·0·2·1·2·0·1·0) | 2/5g | 51/70g | 36% | — | — |
| – | Patrick Lipinski | FWD | 10 in 19g | 8/10g (1·1·0·0·2·1·2·0·1·0) | 4/5g | 34/70g | 40% | — | — |
| – | Charlie West | KF | 8 in 8g | 9/9g (1·1·0·1·0·1·0·2·3) | 0/0g | 7/5g | 67% | ⚡ Anytime Goal $1.62 AI 66% ✓ Scored | 🏉 20' |
| – | William Hayes | FWD | 8 in 9g | 9/10g (1·0·1·1·2·1·0·1·2·0) | 0/0g | 7/7g | 67% | — | — |
| – | Dan Houston | DEF | 6 in 23g | 5/10g (0·1·0·0·1·0·0·1·1·1) | 4/13g | 12/44g | 34% | — | — |
| – | Edward Allan | MID | 6 in 18g | 5/10g (0·0·0·0·0·2·0·1·1·1) | 0/1g | 5/17g | 26% | — | — |
| – | Ned Long | FWD | 6 in 21g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·2·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 8/35g | 24% | — | 🏉 56' |
| – | Sam Swadling | MID | 6 in 8g | 6/8g (1·0·1·1·1·1·0·1) | 0/0g | 3/5g | 75% | — | — |
| – | Jack Crisp | MID | 5 in 23g | 2/10g (0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 4/14g | 53/168g | 28% | — | 🏉 90' |
| – | Harvey Harrison | FWD | 4 in 11g | 4/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·1·0·0·1) | 0/2g | 11/16g | 46% | — | — |
| – | Steele Sidebottom | MID | 4 in 20g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 9/14g | 107/193g | 26% | — | — |
| – | Darcy Cameron | RUC | 2 in 22g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 39/84g | 16% | — | 🏉 71' |
| – | Jeremy Howe | DEF | 1 in 17g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 4/20g | 56/173g | 4% | — | — |
| – | Josh Daicos | DEF | 1 in 23g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 6/8g | 31/101g | 4% | — | — |
| – | Billy Frampton | DEF | 0 in 23g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/4g | 4/42g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Isaac Quaynor | DEF | 0 in 20g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/6g | 3/89g | 0% | — | — |

### Player Props — Disposal Counts

_Bookmaker disposal lines vs our model's read. ⚡ = the validated under signal (model ≥10 points past the price) — everything else is market intel, not a tip. The ⚡ under signal's verified record: 57.7% of 1,278 flags in 2025._

**Western Bulldogs**

| Player | Line | Under | AI Under | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Richards ⚡ Under | 27.5 | $1.87 | 67% | 25 ✓ |
| Bailey Dale | 27.5 | $1.87 | 55% | 24 ✓ |
| Matthew Kennedy ⚡ Under | 25.5 | $1.87 | 84% | 27 ✗ |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 23.5 | $2.00 | 43% | 32 ✗ |
| Ryley Sanders | 19.5 | $1.96 | 47% | 25 ✗ |
| Joel Freijah | 18.5 | $1.90 | 62% | 27 ✗ |
| Bailey Williams | 18.5 | $1.87 | 46% | 17 ✓ |
| Lachlan Bramble | 17.5 | $1.87 | 49% | 22 ✗ |
| Connor Budarick | 16.5 | $1.90 | 62% | 9 ✓ |
| Sam Davidson | 14.5 | $1.84 | 56% | 19 ✗ |
| Nicholas Coffield | 14.5 | — | — | — |
| Cooper Hynes | 14.5 | $1.84 | 57% | 19 ✗ |
| Timothy English | 13.5 | — | — | — |
| Lachlan Schultz | 13.5 | $1.87 | — | — |

**Collingwood**

| Player | Line | Under | AI Under | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | 34.5 | $1.90 | 44% | 30 ✓ |
| Josh Daicos | 27.5 | $1.87 | 51% | 26 ✓ |
| Jordan De Goey | 23.5 | $1.95 | 54% | 15 ✓ |
| Sam Swadling ⚡ Under | 21.5 | $1.87 | 80% | 32 ✗ |
| Patrick Lipinski | 19.5 | $1.88 | 48% | 24 ✗ |
| Dan Houston | 18.5 | $1.90 | 36% | 14 ✓ |
| Darcy Cameron | 18.5 | $1.87 | 55% | 19 ✗ |
| Edward Allan | 17.5 | $1.95 | 34% | 13 ✓ |
| Jack Crisp | 17.5 | $1.87 | 39% | 21 ✗ |
| Steele Sidebottom | 16.5 | $1.87 | 27% | 8 ✓ |
| Jeremy Howe | 15.5 | $1.83 | 41% | 15 ✓ |
| Ned Long | 15.5 | $1.83 | 44% | 16 ✗ |
| Beau McCreery ⚡ Under | 14.5 | $1.90 | 65% | 22 ✗ |
| Isaac Quaynor | 14.5 | $1.95 | 35% | 16 ✗ |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**ELO–Market Disagreement:** Collingwood hold the ELO advantage (1557 vs 1538), but the market favours Western Bulldogs (@1.87). The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.

**Team ELO Ratings** — Western Bulldogs 1538 · Collingwood 1557 · ELO difference: 19 in favour of Collingwood

**Positional Matchups** — lineup ELO by unit

| Unit | Western Bulldogs | Collingwood | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midfield | 1199 (best 1199) | 1251 (best 1330) | Collingwood +52 |
| Forwards | 1207 (best 1405) | 1135 (best 1396) | Western Bulldogs +72 |
| Defence | 1164 (best 1335) | 1101 (best 1134) | Western Bulldogs +63 |
| Ruck | 1086 (best 1086) | 1000 (best 1000) | Western Bulldogs +86 |

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venue | 25.8% | Collingwood |
| 2 | Recent Form | 13.0% | Western Bulldogs |
| 3 | Lineup Strength | 12.1% | Collingwood |
| 4 | Weather | 11.4% | Western Bulldogs |
| 5 | Forward Line | 8.3% | Western Bulldogs |
| 6 | Stat Profile | 8.3% | Collingwood |
| 7 | ELO Rating | 7.2% | Collingwood |

**Model Confidence: 53%** — Western Bulldogs predicted to win by 3 points · Predicted total: 170 pts

**Record:** 4/4 predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-28 12:26 UTC (latest tip update)