# Fremantle v Geelong Cats — AFL Semi Finals 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Prediction coming soon

Our AFL model publishes its win probability, margin and total for Fremantle v Geelong Cats closer to kick-off. The head-to-head picture below is real historical data.

### Fremantle v Geelong Cats
Fri, 11 Sept, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Semi Finals

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (18 teams)._

**Forwards** (Key Forwards · Med/Mid Forwards)

|  | Fremantle | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 7th | 4th (strong) |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 8th |
| Goals scored · conceded | 234 · 181 | 263 · 213 |
| Goal Assists | 4.3/g | 5.9/g |
| Disposals | 87/g | 101/g |
| Inside 50s | 15.8/g | 20.5/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 10.8/g | 11/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 70.5% | 66.2% |

**Midfield & Ruck** (Midfielders · Rucks)

|  | Fremantle | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 12th |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 2nd (strong) |
| Goals scored · conceded | 97 · 53 | 73 · 60 |
| Goal Assists | 5.1/g | 3.7/g |
| Disposals | 165/g | 141/g |
| Inside 50s | 28.6/g | 25.7/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 2.6/g | 2.3/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 73.3% | 70.5% |

**Defenders** (Key & Medium Defenders)

|  | Fremantle | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 18th (weak) | 5th (strong) |
| Defence rank | 3rd (strong) | 5th (strong) |
| Goals scored · conceded | 5 · 12 | 24 · 15 |
| Goal Assists | 1.4/g | 1.5/g |
| Disposals | 113/g | 133/g |
| Inside 50s | 9.3/g | 13/g |
| Marks Inside 50 | 0.2/g | 0.9/g |
| Disposal Efficiency | 83.8% | 79.9% |

**Who scores on Geelong Cats** — Key Forwards 3.97/g (lg 3.91) +2% · Forwards 4.32/g (lg 4.5) -4% · Midfielders 2.15/g (lg 2.47) -13%
**Who scores on Fremantle** — Forwards 4.27/g (lg 4.5) -5% · Midfielders 2.13/g (lg 2.47) -14% · Key Forwards 3.34/g (lg 3.91) -15%

_Goals conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-07 07:57 UTC (latest tip update)