# Richmond v Adelaide Crows — AFL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Richmond v Adelaide Crows
Sun, 10 May, 03:15 pm AEST · MCG · Round 9
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Alphr AI win probability: Richmond 45.3% / Adelaide Crows 54.7%
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.13 (edge -33.8%) — model probability 54.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +37.5 @ $1.90 (edge +47.3%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Richmond 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 180.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Richmond by 10
- Predicted total points: 143
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-richmond-v-adelaide-crows

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Richmond | Stat | Adelaide Crows |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 69.8pts | Avg Score | 88.8pts |
| 113.0pts | Avg Conceded | 93.6pts |
| -43.2pts | Avg Margin | -4.8pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond | R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 W | 69.8 |
| Adelaide Crows | R4 L · R5 W · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W | 88.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-richmond-v-adelaide-crows
Markdown view for AI agents. Full machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · Complete reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC