# Geelong Cats v Collingwood — AFL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Geelong Cats v Collingwood
Sat, 09 May, 07:35 pm AEST · MCG · Round 9
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Alphr AI win probability: Geelong Cats 57.4% / Collingwood 42.6%
- **Head to Head:** Geelong Cats to win @ $1.50 (edge -9.3%) — model probability 57.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Collingwood +12.5 @ $1.90 (edge +7.8%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Geelong Cats 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 178.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Geelong Cats by 5
- Predicted total points: 138
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-geelong-cats-v-collingwood

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Geelong Cats | Stat | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 108.8pts | Avg Score | 84.4pts |
| 81.0pts | Avg Conceded | 80.0pts |
| 27.8pts | Avg Margin | 4.4pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Geelong Cats | R4 L · R5 W · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W | 108.8 |
| Collingwood | R4 L · R5 L · R6 W · R7 W · R8 D | 84.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-geelong-cats-v-collingwood
Markdown view for AI agents. Full machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · Complete reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-06-22 12:46 UTC