# Fremantle v Hawthorn — AFL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Fremantle v Hawthorn
Thu, 07 May, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 9
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Alphr AI win probability: Fremantle 56.0% / Hawthorn 44.0%
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.68 (edge -3.5%) — model probability 56.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hawthorn +5.5 @ $1.90 (edge +1.7%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 180.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 4
- Predicted total points: 147
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-fremantle-v-hawthorn

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Fremantle | Stat | Hawthorn |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 87.4pts | Avg Score | 98.0pts |
| 69.4pts | Avg Conceded | 79.4pts |
| 18.0pts | Avg Margin | 18.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | R4 W · R5 W · R6 W · R7 W · R8 W | 87.4 |
| Hawthorn | R4 W · R5 W · R6 W · R7 W · R8 D | 98.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-fremantle-v-hawthorn
Markdown view for AI agents. Full machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · Complete reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-06-20 08:03 UTC