# Brisbane Lions v Carlton — AFL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Fri, 08 May, 07:30 pm AEST · Gabba · Round 9
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Alphr AI win probability: Brisbane Lions 57.4% / Carlton 42.6%
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.09 (edge -34.3%) — model probability 57.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Carlton +43.5 @ $1.90 (edge +36.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 186.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Brisbane Lions by 8
- Predicted total points: 147
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-brisbane-lions-v-carlton

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Brisbane Lions | Stat | Carlton |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 116.6pts | Avg Score | 82.6pts |
| 77.8pts | Avg Conceded | 101.8pts |
| 38.8pts | Avg Margin | -19.2pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Lions | R4 W · R5 W · R6 L · R7 W · R8 W | 116.6 |
| Carlton | R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L | 82.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r9-brisbane-lions-v-carlton
Markdown view for AI agents. Full machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · Complete reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 08:03 UTC