# Western Bulldogs v Fremantle — AFL Round 8 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
Fri, 01 May, 07:30 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 8

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Western Bulldogs to win @ $3.12 (edge +20.6%) — model probability 52.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs +19.5 @ $1.89 (edge +28.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 185.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Western Bulldogs by 9 · Predicted total: 135

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Western Bulldogs | Stat | Fremantle |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 74.6pts | Avg Score | 85.2pts |
| 102.8pts | Avg Conceded | 57.6pts |
| -28.2pts | Avg Margin | 27.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | R2 W · R4 W · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L | 74.6 |
| Fremantle | R3 W · R4 W · R5 W · R6 W · R7 W | 85.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC (latest tip update)