# Gold Coast SUNS v GWS GIANTS — AFL Round 8 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Gold Coast SUNS v GWS GIANTS
Sun, 03 May, 07:20 pm AEST · People First Stadium · Round 8

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** GWS GIANTS to win @ $2.41 (edge +8.9%) — model probability 50.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Gold Coast SUNS -10.5 @ $1.90 (edge +3.9%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Gold Coast SUNS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 185.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Gold Coast SUNS by 14 · Predicted total: 138

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Gold Coast SUNS | Stat | GWS GIANTS |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 93.4pts | Avg Score | 86.0pts |
| 98.2pts | Avg Conceded | 89.0pts |
| -4.8pts | Avg Margin | -3.0pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast SUNS | R2 W · R4 L · R5 L · R6 W · R7 L | 93.4 |
| GWS GIANTS | R2 L · R3 L · R5 W · R6 L · R7 W | 86.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-03 23:59 UTC (latest tip update)