# Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide — AFL Round 8 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide
Fri, 01 May, 08:10 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 8

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.56 (edge -13.4%) — model probability 50.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide +9.5 @ $1.90 (edge +3.9%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 174.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 6 · Predicted total: 141

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Adelaide Crows | Stat | Port Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 85.6pts | Avg Score | 85.6pts |
| 92.2pts | Avg Conceded | 75.0pts |
| -6.6pts | Avg Margin | 10.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Crows | R3 L · R4 L · R5 W · R6 W · R7 L | 85.6 |
| Port Adelaide | R3 L · R4 W · R5 L · R6 L · R7 W | 85.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-01 22:52 UTC (latest tip update)