# Essendon v Collingwood — AFL Round 7 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Essendon v Collingwood
Sat, 25 Apr, 03:15 pm AEST · MCG · Round 7

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Collingwood to win @ $1.41 (edge -17.3%) — model probability 53.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Essendon +16.5 @ $1.90 (edge +21.7%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Essendon 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 179.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Essendon by 5 · Predicted total: 165

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-04-25 12:03 UTC (latest tip update)