# Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide — AFL Round 22 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide
Sat, 08 Aug, 04:15 pm AEST · SCG · Round 22

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $1.12 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 87.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sydney Swans -37.5 @ $1.89 (edge +7.8%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 40+ @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 176.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 45 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sydney Swans | Stat | Port Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 96.0pts | Avg Score | 70.2pts |
| 85.8pts | Avg Conceded | 88.6pts |
| 10.2pts | Avg Margin | -18.4pts |
| 362.0 | Disposals | 314.4 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 51.6 |
| 38.0 | Clearances | 37.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney Swans | R17 W · R18 L · R19 L · R20 W · R21 W | 96.0 |
| Port Adelaide | R17 W · R18 L · R19 L · R20 L · R21 L | 70.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-08-08 09:41 UTC (latest tip update)