# Richmond v West Coast Eagles — AFL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Richmond v West Coast Eagles
Sun, 02 Aug, 01:10 pm AEST · MCG · Round 21

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Richmond to win @ $2.04 (edge +11.2%) — model probability 60.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +2.5 @ $1.90 (edge +8.9%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Richmond 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 167.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Richmond by 6 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Richmond | Stat | West Coast Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 61.8pts | Avg Score | 70.0pts |
| 97.2pts | Avg Conceded | 93.8pts |
| -35.4pts | Avg Margin | -23.8pts |
| 334.0 | Disposals | 311.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 45.4 | Tackles | 59.4 |
| 34.6 | Clearances | 36.0 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 0W–5L | 61.8 |
| West Coast Eagles | 0W–5L | 70.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-02 05:56 UTC (latest tip update)