# Fremantle v Western Bulldogs — AFL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
Fri, 31 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 21

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.11 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 84.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs +37.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.7%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 166.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 35 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Fremantle | Stat | Western Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 98.8pts | Avg Score | 81.2pts |
| 65.6pts | Avg Conceded | 67.4pts |
| 33.2pts | Avg Margin | 13.8pts |
| 374.2 | Disposals | 336.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.4 | Tackles | 55.2 |
| 32.4 | Clearances | 39.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | R16 W · R17 L · R18 W · R19 W · R20 W | 98.8 |
| Western Bulldogs | R15 W · R17 L · R18 W · R19 W · R20 W | 81.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-31 12:43 UTC (latest tip update)