# Western Bulldogs v Richmond — AFL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Western Bulldogs v Richmond
Sat, 25 July, 07:40 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Western Bulldogs to win @ $1.08 (edge -17.2%) — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +41.5 @ $1.92 (edge +9.9%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 173.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Western Bulldogs by 32 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Western Bulldogs | Stat | Richmond |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 73.0pts | Avg Score | 61.8pts |
| 82.0pts | Avg Conceded | 97.2pts |
| -9.0pts | Avg Margin | -35.4pts |
| 342.8 | Disposals | 336.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 58.0 | Tackles | 46.2 |
| 39.6 | Clearances | 34.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | R14 L · R15 W · R17 L · R18 W · R19 W | 73.0 |
| Richmond | R15 L · R16 L · R17 L · R18 L · R19 L | 61.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 12:21 UTC (latest tip update)