# North Melbourne v St Kilda — AFL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### North Melbourne v St Kilda
Sun, 26 July, 03:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Kilda to win @ $1.50 (edge +20.0%) — model probability 66.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Kilda -12.5 @ $1.90 (edge +4.3%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Kilda 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 175.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Kilda by 17 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| North Melbourne | Stat | St Kilda |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 73.0pts | Avg Score | 87.2pts |
| 73.4pts | Avg Conceded | 79.2pts |
| -0.4pts | Avg Margin | 8.0pts |
| 372.8 | Disposals | 409.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 55.6 | Tackles | 59.8 |
| 32.4 | Clearances | 37.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| North Melbourne | R15 W · R16 W · R17 L · R18 L · R19 L | 73.0 |
| St Kilda | R14 W · R15 L · R17 W · R18 W · R19 L | 87.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-26 08:01 UTC (latest tip update)