# Carlton v Gold Coast SUNS — AFL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Carlton v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat, 25 July, 01:05 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Carlton to win @ $1.64 (edge -1.9%) — model probability 59.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Carlton -6.5 @ $1.89 (edge +40.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Carlton 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 171.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Carlton by 7 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Carlton | Stat | Gold Coast SUNS |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 77.4pts | Avg Score | 68.2pts |
| 78.8pts | Avg Conceded | 100.4pts |
| -1.4pts | Avg Margin | -32.2pts |
| 391.6 | Disposals | 378.6 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 61.2 | Tackles | 51.0 |
| 35.2 | Clearances | 34.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Carlton | R15 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 L · R19 L | 77.4 |
| Gold Coast SUNS | R15 L · R16 L · R17 L · R18 L · R19 L | 68.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r20-carlton-v-gold-coast-suns
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC (latest tip update)