# Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide — AFL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
Sun, 26 July, 01:10 pm AEST · Gabba · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.13 (edge -16.2%) — model probability 72.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide +37.5 @ $1.91 (edge +21.1%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 187.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Brisbane Lions by 16 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Brisbane Lions | Stat | Port Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 121.2pts | Avg Score | 74.0pts |
| 78.4pts | Avg Conceded | 78.2pts |
| 42.8pts | Avg Margin | -4.2pts |
| 376.6 | Disposals | 316.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 51.2 | Tackles | 50.8 |
| 40.6 | Clearances | 37.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Lions | R14 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 W · R19 W | 121.2 |
| Port Adelaide | R15 L · R16 W · R17 W · R18 L · R19 L | 74.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-26 05:53 UTC (latest tip update)