# Port Adelaide v Fremantle — AFL Round 19 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Port Adelaide v Fremantle
Sat, 18 July, 01:15 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 19

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.05 (edge -40.1%) — model probability 55.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide +47.5 @ $1.89 (edge +37.4%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 171.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 10 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Port Adelaide | Stat | Fremantle |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 77.0pts | Avg Score | 106.6pts |
| 76.2pts | Avg Conceded | 66.4pts |
| 0.8pts | Avg Margin | 40.2pts |
| 320.4 | Disposals | 369.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 55.4 | Tackles | 54.6 |
| 37.2 | Clearances | 30.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | R14 L · R15 L · R16 W · R17 W · R18 L | 77.0 |
| Fremantle | R13 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 L · R18 W | 106.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-18 06:18 UTC (latest tip update)