# Essendon v GWS GIANTS — AFL Round 19 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Essendon v GWS GIANTS
Sun, 19 July, 04:40 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 19

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** GWS GIANTS to win @ $1.11 (edge -6.7%) — model probability 83.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Essendon +39.5 @ $1.89 (edge +13.9%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** GWS GIANTS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 177.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: GWS GIANTS by 26 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Essendon | Stat | GWS GIANTS |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 58.2pts | Avg Score | 86.0pts |
| 102.4pts | Avg Conceded | 88.2pts |
| -44.2pts | Avg Margin | -2.2pts |
| 359.2 | Disposals | 384.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 45.4 | Tackles | 58.4 |
| 33.4 | Clearances | 35.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Essendon | R13 L · R14 L · R16 L · R17 L · R18 L | 58.2 |
| GWS GIANTS | R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 W · R18 W | 86.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-19 09:18 UTC (latest tip update)