# GWS GIANTS v Geelong Cats — AFL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### GWS GIANTS v Geelong Cats
Sat, 11 July, 04:15 pm AEST · ENGIE Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** GWS GIANTS to win @ $2.38 (edge +49.1%) — model probability 91.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** GWS GIANTS +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +34.3%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** GWS GIANTS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 188.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: GWS GIANTS by 25 · Predicted total: 169

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| GWS GIANTS | Stat | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 92.6pts | Avg Score | 90.8pts |
| 87.6pts | Avg Conceded | 89.0pts |
| 5.0pts | Avg Margin | 1.8pts |
| 395.0 | Disposals | 366.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 64.2 | Tackles | 51.6 |
| 35.8 | Clearances | 37.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| GWS GIANTS | R12 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 W | 92.6 |
| Geelong Cats | R12 L · R13 L · R14 W · R15 L · R17 L | 90.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-11 09:21 UTC (latest tip update)