# Fremantle v Sydney Swans — AFL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Thu, 09 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $2.60 (edge +36.2%) — model probability 74.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sydney Swans +12.5 @ $1.90 (edge +25.3%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 176.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 13 · Predicted total: 169

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Fremantle | Stat | Sydney Swans |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 105.0pts | Avg Score | 108.0pts |
| 67.4pts | Avg Conceded | 85.8pts |
| 37.6pts | Avg Margin | 22.2pts |
| 379.8 | Disposals | 391.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 51.6 | Tackles | 59.2 |
| 32.0 | Clearances | 33.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | R12 W · R13 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 L | 105.0 |
| Sydney Swans | R12 W · R13 W · R14 W · R16 L · R17 W | 108.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-09 13:00 UTC (latest tip update)