# Collingwood v North Melbourne — AFL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Collingwood v North Melbourne
Fri, 10 July, 07:40 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Collingwood to win @ $1.38 (edge -2.1%) — model probability 70.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** North Melbourne +17.5 @ $1.90 (edge +32.1%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** North Melbourne 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 175.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: North Melbourne by 15 · Predicted total: 169

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Collingwood | Stat | North Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 91.2pts | Avg Score | 61.8pts |
| 80.4pts | Avg Conceded | 82.8pts |
| 10.8pts | Avg Margin | -21.0pts |
| 386.6 | Disposals | 358.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 59.4 | Tackles | 56.4 |
| 34.0 | Clearances | 32.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Collingwood | R12 L · R13 L · R15 W · R16 W · R17 W | 91.2 |
| North Melbourne | R13 L · R14 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 L | 61.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-10 12:39 UTC (latest tip update)