# Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast SUNS — AFL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat, 11 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.35 (edge +18.6%) — model probability 92.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Adelaide Crows -17.5 @ $1.90 (edge +8.5%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 152.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 26 · Predicted total: 169

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Adelaide Crows | Stat | Gold Coast SUNS |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 89.0pts | Avg Score | 71.8pts |
| 74.2pts | Avg Conceded | 101.6pts |
| 14.8pts | Avg Margin | -29.8pts |
| 385.4 | Disposals | 363.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 74.8 | Tackles | 50.2 |
| 32.6 | Clearances | 32.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Crows | R13 W · R14 W · R15 W · R16 L · R17 W | 89.0 |
| Gold Coast SUNS | R13 L · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 L | 71.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-11 13:08 UTC (latest tip update)