# West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows — AFL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows
Fri, 03 July, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.17 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 87.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** West Coast Eagles +31.5 @ $1.90 (edge +11.8%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 171.5 @ $1.85 (edge +90.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 20 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| West Coast Eagles | Stat | Adelaide Crows |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 75.0pts | Avg Score | 82.4pts |
| 83.0pts | Avg Conceded | 74.4pts |
| -8.0pts | Avg Margin | 8.0pts |
| 332.8 | Disposals | 396.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 53.8 | Tackles | 76.8 |
| 33.0 | Clearances | 36.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| West Coast Eagles | R11 L · R12 W · R13 L · R14 L · R16 L | 75.0 |
| Adelaide Crows | R11 L · R13 W · R14 W · R15 W · R16 L | 82.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-03 13:22 UTC (latest tip update)