# Port Adelaide v North Melbourne — AFL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Port Adelaide v North Melbourne
Sun, 05 July, 04:40 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Port Adelaide to win @ $1.40 (edge +9.3%) — model probability 80.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** North Melbourne +16.5 @ $1.90 (edge +7.8%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 172.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Port Adelaide by 9 · Predicted total: 167

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Port Adelaide | Stat | North Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 74.8pts | Avg Score | 73.6pts |
| 81.0pts | Avg Conceded | 89.2pts |
| -6.2pts | Avg Margin | -15.6pts |
| 336.2 | Disposals | 332.6 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 52.6 | Tackles | 54.6 |
| 37.0 | Clearances | 32.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | R11 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 W | 74.8 |
| North Melbourne | R11 W · R13 L · R14 W · R15 W · R16 W | 73.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-05 09:42 UTC (latest tip update)