# GWS GIANTS v Fremantle — AFL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### GWS GIANTS v Fremantle
Sat, 04 July, 01:35 pm AEST · Corroboree Group Oval Manuka · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Fremantle to win @ $1.33 (edge +15.0%) — model probability 90.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Fremantle -20.5 @ $1.90 (edge +15.4%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 177.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 36 · Predicted total: 169

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| GWS GIANTS | Stat | Fremantle |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 104.0pts | Avg Score | 108.2pts |
| 87.6pts | Avg Conceded | 60.4pts |
| 16.4pts | Avg Margin | 47.8pts |
| 389.4 | Disposals | 376.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 63.0 | Tackles | 50.0 |
| 37.6 | Clearances | 33.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| GWS GIANTS | R11 W · R12 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L | 104.0 |
| Fremantle | R11 W · R12 W · R13 W · R15 W · R16 W | 108.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:23 UTC (latest tip update)