# Gold Coast SUNS v Collingwood — AFL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Gold Coast SUNS v Collingwood
Sat, 04 July, 04:15 pm AEST · People First Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Collingwood to win @ $2.35 (edge +45.0%) — model probability 87.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Collingwood +8.5 @ $1.90 (edge +57.4%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Collingwood 40+ @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 173.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Collingwood by 49 · Predicted total: 168

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Gold Coast SUNS | Stat | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 73.2pts | Avg Score | 88.8pts |
| 103.0pts | Avg Conceded | 77.2pts |
| -29.8pts | Avg Margin | 11.6pts |
| 375.2 | Disposals | 383.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 50.6 | Tackles | 62.0 |
| 31.2 | Clearances | 35.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast SUNS | R11 L · R13 L · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L | 73.2 |
| Collingwood | R11 W · R12 L · R13 L · R15 W · R16 W | 88.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-04 09:23 UTC (latest tip update)