# Port Adelaide v Adelaide Crows — AFL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Port Adelaide v Adelaide Crows
Sat, 27 June, 07:35 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.27 (edge +11.4%) — model probability 90.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Adelaide Crows -22.5 @ $1.90 (edge +12.6%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 164.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 35

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Port Adelaide | Stat | Adelaide Crows |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 70.0pts | Avg Score | 94.8pts |
| 86.4pts | Avg Conceded | 68.0pts |
| -16.4pts | Avg Margin | 26.8pts |
| 339.2 | Disposals | 391.2 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 55.6 | Tackles | 75.8 |
| 36.8 | Clearances | 36.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | R10 L · R11 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 L | 70.0 |
| Adelaide Crows | R10 W · R11 L · R13 W · R14 W · R15 W | 94.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-27 12:39 UTC (latest tip update)