# Hawthorn v GWS GIANTS — AFL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Hawthorn v GWS GIANTS
Fri, 26 June, 07:40 pm AEST · MCG · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hawthorn to win @ $1.35 (edge -9.0%) — model probability 65.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** GWS GIANTS +19.5 @ $1.89 (edge +15.2%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hawthorn 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 170.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hawthorn by 4

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Hawthorn | Stat | GWS GIANTS |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 91.8pts | Avg Score | 101.8pts |
| 85.4pts | Avg Conceded | 86.0pts |
| 6.4pts | Avg Margin | 15.8pts |
| 385.8 | Disposals | 389.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 56.6 | Tackles | 62.8 |
| 35.8 | Clearances | 39.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Hawthorn | R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L · R15 W | 91.8 |
| GWS GIANTS | R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R14 L · R15 L | 101.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r16-hawthorn-v-gws-giants
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-26 12:53 UTC (latest tip update)