# Fremantle v Gold Coast SUNS — AFL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Fremantle v Gold Coast SUNS
Sun, 28 June, 05:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Gold Coast SUNS to win @ $4.60 (edge +32.7%) — model probability 54.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Gold Coast SUNS +27.5 @ $1.90 (edge +25.6%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Fremantle 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 159.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Fremantle by 2

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Fremantle | Stat | Gold Coast SUNS |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 113.0pts | Avg Score | 87.0pts |
| 66.8pts | Avg Conceded | 101.6pts |
| 46.2pts | Avg Margin | -14.6pts |
| 365.6 | Disposals | 364.4 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 51.4 | Tackles | 49.2 |
| 34.2 | Clearances | 29.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | R10 W · R11 W · R12 W · R13 W · R15 W | 113.0 |
| Gold Coast SUNS | R10 W · R11 L · R13 L · R14 L · R15 L | 87.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-28 09:53 UTC (latest tip update)