# Carlton v West Coast Eagles — AFL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Carlton v West Coast Eagles
Sat, 27 June, 01:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Carlton to win @ $1.14 (edge -17.2%) — model probability 70.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** West Coast Eagles +33.5 @ $1.90 (edge +24.3%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Carlton 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 172.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Carlton by 9

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Carlton | Stat | West Coast Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 82.8pts | Avg Score | 79.8pts |
| 67.2pts | Avg Conceded | 73.8pts |
| 15.6pts | Avg Margin | 6.0pts |
| 394.4 | Disposals | 345.8 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 49.6 | Tackles | 55.4 |
| 33.4 | Clearances | 33.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Carlton | R10 W · R11 W · R12 W · R13 W · R15 W | 82.8 |
| West Coast Eagles | R10 W · R11 L · R12 W · R13 L · R14 L | 79.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-27 06:10 UTC (latest tip update)