# St Kilda v Western Bulldogs — AFL Round 15 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Sun, 21 June, 03:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 15

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Kilda to win @ $1.89 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 51.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs +0.5 @ $1.90 (edge +11.1%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 184.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Western Bulldogs by 11 · Predicted total: 170

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| St Kilda | Stat | Western Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 89.6pts | Avg Score | 78.6pts |
| 97.6pts | Avg Conceded | 89.8pts |
| -8.0pts | Avg Margin | -11.2pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| St Kilda | R10 W · R11 L · R12 L · R13 L · R14 W | 89.6 |
| Western Bulldogs | R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 W · R14 L | 78.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-21 08:38 UTC (latest tip update)