# Gold Coast SUNS v Hawthorn — AFL Round 15 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Gold Coast SUNS v Hawthorn
Fri, 19 June, 07:40 pm AEST · People First Stadium · Round 15

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hawthorn to win @ $1.75 (edge -5.6%) — model probability 51.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Gold Coast SUNS +4.5 @ $1.89 (edge +9.2%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Gold Coast SUNS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 178.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Gold Coast SUNS by 5 · Predicted total: 174

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Gold Coast SUNS | Stat | Hawthorn |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 85.4pts | Avg Score | 83.8pts |
| 91.0pts | Avg Conceded | 83.6pts |
| -5.6pts | Avg Margin | 0.2pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast SUNS | R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R13 L · R14 L | 85.4 |
| Hawthorn | R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L | 83.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC (latest tip update)