# Fremantle v Geelong Cats — AFL Round 15 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Fremantle v Geelong Cats
Thu, 18 June, 08:10 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 15

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Geelong Cats to win @ $3.42 (edge +23.0%) — model probability 52.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Geelong Cats +21.5 @ $1.89 (edge +27.7%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Geelong Cats 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 177.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Geelong Cats by 6 · Predicted total: 179

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Fremantle | Stat | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 110.8pts | Avg Score | 97.4pts |
| 63.4pts | Avg Conceded | 75.8pts |
| 47.4pts | Avg Margin | 21.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | R9 W · R10 W · R11 W · R12 W · R13 W | 110.8 |
| Geelong Cats | R10 W · R11 W · R12 L · R13 L · R14 W | 97.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-18 12:59 UTC (latest tip update)