# Collingwood v Port Adelaide — AFL Round 15 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Collingwood v Port Adelaide
Sat, 20 June, 07:35 pm AEST · MCG · Round 15

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Collingwood to win @ $1.47 (edge -16.4%) — model probability 51.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide +12.5 @ $1.90 (edge +14.8%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 160.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Port Adelaide by 2 · Predicted total: 166

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Collingwood | Stat | Port Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 80.6pts | Avg Score | 74.0pts |
| 93.0pts | Avg Conceded | 85.6pts |
| -12.4pts | Avg Margin | -11.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Collingwood | R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 L · R13 L | 80.6 |
| Port Adelaide | R9 L · R10 L · R11 L · R13 W · R14 L | 74.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 12:42 UTC (latest tip update)