# St Kilda v GWS GIANTS — AFL Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### St Kilda v GWS GIANTS
Sun, 14 June, 03:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** GWS GIANTS to win @ $2.10 (edge +11.8%) — model probability 59.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** GWS GIANTS +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.3%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** GWS GIANTS 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 185.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: GWS GIANTS by 3 · Predicted total: 183

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| St Kilda | Stat | GWS GIANTS |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 82.4pts | Avg Score | 104.4pts |
| 97.8pts | Avg Conceded | 83.6pts |
| -15.4pts | Avg Margin | 20.8pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| St Kilda | R9 L · R10 W · R11 L · R12 L · R13 L | 82.4 |
| GWS GIANTS | R8 L · R9 W · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W | 104.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-14 08:11 UTC (latest tip update)