# Richmond v Brisbane Lions — AFL Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Richmond v Brisbane Lions
Sun, 14 June, 01:10 pm AEST · Ninja Stadium · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.08 (edge -21.3%) — model probability 71.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +45.5 @ $1.90 (edge +46.7%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Richmond 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 183.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Richmond by 1 · Predicted total: 190

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Richmond | Stat | Brisbane Lions |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 72.6pts | Avg Score | 89.6pts |
| 104.2pts | Avg Conceded | 110.0pts |
| -31.6pts | Avg Margin | -20.4pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond | R8 W · R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 L | 72.6 |
| Brisbane Lions | R9 W · R10 L · R11 L · R12 L · R13 W | 89.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-14 05:58 UTC (latest tip update)