# Port Adelaide v Sydney Swans — AFL Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Port Adelaide v Sydney Swans
Sat, 13 June, 07:35 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $1.44 (edge -6.3%) — model probability 63.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Port Adelaide +14.5 @ $1.89 (edge +10.2%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 160.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 4 · Predicted total: 179

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Port Adelaide | Stat | Sydney Swans |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 71.0pts | Avg Score | 108.0pts |
| 82.2pts | Avg Conceded | 87.4pts |
| -11.2pts | Avg Margin | 20.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | R8 L · R9 L · R10 L · R11 L · R13 W | 71.0 |
| Sydney Swans | R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R12 W · R13 W | 108.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-13 12:32 UTC (latest tip update)