# Geelong Cats v Gold Coast SUNS — AFL Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Geelong Cats v Gold Coast SUNS
Fri, 12 June, 07:40 pm AEST · GMHBA Stadium · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Gold Coast SUNS to win @ $3.82 (edge +32.8%) — model probability 58.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Gold Coast SUNS +24.5 @ $1.89 (edge +14.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Geelong Cats 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 177.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Geelong Cats by 11 · Predicted total: 182

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Geelong Cats | Stat | Gold Coast SUNS |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 100.8pts | Avg Score | 90.0pts |
| 77.4pts | Avg Conceded | 82.6pts |
| 23.4pts | Avg Margin | 7.4pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Geelong Cats | R9 W · R10 W · R11 W · R12 L · R13 L | 100.8 |
| Gold Coast SUNS | R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R13 L | 90.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-12 12:35 UTC (latest tip update)