# Sydney Swans v St Kilda — AFL Round 13 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sydney Swans v St Kilda
Sun, 07 June, 03:15 pm AEST · SCG · Round 13

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $1.24 (edge -25.7%) — model probability 55.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Kilda +27.5 @ $1.90 (edge +22.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 189.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 6 · Predicted total: 148

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sydney Swans | Stat | St Kilda |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 113.4pts | Avg Score | 83.6pts |
| 89.8pts | Avg Conceded | 90.8pts |
| 23.6pts | Avg Margin | -7.2pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney Swans | R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R12 W | 113.4 |
| St Kilda | R8 W · R9 L · R10 W · R11 L · R12 L | 83.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r13-sydney-swans-v-st-kilda
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-07 08:26 UTC (latest tip update)