# Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs — AFL Round 13 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
Fri, 05 June, 07:40 pm AEST · MCG · Round 13

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hawthorn to win @ $1.35 (edge -14.0%) — model probability 60.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Western Bulldogs +19.5 @ $1.90 (edge +16.8%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hawthorn 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 174.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hawthorn by 3 · Predicted total: 144

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Hawthorn | Stat | Western Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 83.8pts | Avg Score | 80.6pts |
| 83.6pts | Avg Conceded | 80.0pts |
| 0.2pts | Avg Margin | 0.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Hawthorn | R9 L · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L | 83.8 |
| Western Bulldogs | R9 W · R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 W | 80.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-05 12:47 UTC (latest tip update)