# Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats — AFL Round 13 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats
Thu, 04 June, 07:30 pm AEST · Adelaide Oval · Round 13

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Adelaide Crows to win @ $2.34 (edge +11.8%) — model probability 54.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Adelaide Crows +8.5 @ $1.90 (edge +11.8%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Adelaide Crows 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 166.5 @ $1.88 (edge +1.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Adelaide Crows by 3 · Predicted total: 143

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Adelaide Crows | Stat | Geelong Cats |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 89.6pts | Avg Score | 100.8pts |
| 70.0pts | Avg Conceded | 77.4pts |
| 19.6pts | Avg Margin | 23.4pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Crows | R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R13 W | 89.6 |
| Geelong Cats | R9 W · R10 W · R11 W · R12 L · R13 L | 100.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-04 12:54 UTC (latest tip update)