# Sydney Swans v Richmond — AFL Round 12 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sydney Swans v Richmond
Sat, 30 May, 01:15 pm AEST · SCG · Round 12

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sydney Swans to win @ $1.03 (edge -30.0%) — model probability 67.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Richmond +55.5 @ $1.90 (edge +41.3%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sydney Swans 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 180.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sydney Swans by 14 · Predicted total: 150

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sydney Swans | Stat | Richmond |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 104.6pts | Avg Score | 75.8pts |
| 90.6pts | Avg Conceded | 95.4pts |
| 14.0pts | Avg Margin | -19.6pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney Swans | R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L | 104.6 |
| Richmond | R7 L · R8 W · R9 L · R10 L · R11 W | 75.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r12-sydney-swans-v-richmond
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-09 05:57 UTC