# Brisbane Lions v Fremantle — AFL Round 12 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Brisbane Lions v Fremantle
Sat, 30 May, 04:15 pm AEST · Gabba · Round 12

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.67 (edge -8.0%) — model probability 51.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Fremantle +6.5 @ $1.90 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 182.5 @ $1.89 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Brisbane Lions by 4 · Predicted total: 144

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Brisbane Lions | Stat | Fremantle |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 106.8pts | Avg Score | 102.6pts |
| 105.2pts | Avg Conceded | 79.8pts |
| 1.6pts | Avg Margin | 22.8pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Lions | R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 L · R11 L | 106.8 |
| Fremantle | R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 W | 102.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r12-brisbane-lions-v-fremantle
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-09 05:58 UTC