# North Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNS — AFL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### North Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat, 23 May, 01:15 pm AEST · Marvel Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Gold Coast SUNS to win @ $1.58 (edge -12.0%) — model probability 51.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** North Melbourne +9.5 @ $1.90 (edge +14.4%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** North Melbourne 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 182.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: North Melbourne by 5 · Predicted total: 184

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| North Melbourne | Stat | Gold Coast SUNS |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 95.2pts | Avg Score | 90.4pts |
| 106.6pts | Avg Conceded | 83.6pts |
| -11.4pts | Avg Margin | 6.8pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| North Melbourne | R6 W · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L · R10 L | 95.2 |
| Gold Coast SUNS | R6 W · R7 L · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W | 90.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r11-north-melbourne-v-gold-coast-suns
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Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:39 UTC