# GWS GIANTS v Brisbane Lions — AFL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### GWS GIANTS v Brisbane Lions
Sun, 24 May, 12:30 pm AEST · ENGIE Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.53 (edge -4.0%) — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** GWS GIANTS +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 @ $3.30 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 188.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Brisbane Lions by 2 · Predicted total: 190

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| GWS GIANTS | Stat | Brisbane Lions |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 81.6pts | Avg Score | 109.6pts |
| 93.0pts | Avg Conceded | 92.8pts |
| -11.4pts | Avg Margin | 16.8pts |
| 350.0 | Disposals | 350.0 |
| 50.0 | Inside 50s | 50.0 |
| 60.0 | Tackles | 60.0 |
| 35.0 | Clearances | 35.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| GWS GIANTS | R6 L · R7 W · R8 L · R9 W · R10 L | 81.6 |
| Brisbane Lions | R6 L · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 L | 109.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r11-gws-giants-v-brisbane-lions
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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:38 UTC